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Bank Cuts Rates, But Inflation Forecast Dims Hopes for Quick Recovery

The Bank of England has made a fifth consecutive rate cut, bringing the base interest rate to 4%. Yet with inflation forecast to rise again, the expected relief may be short-lived.
This decision came after the most divided vote in recent memory—5-4 in favor of a cut. Bailey said inflationary risks, especially from food, have risen since the last update in May.
The Bank cited both global and local contributors to inflation. Weather-hit harvests, wage increases, and packaging mandates are expected to push food prices up significantly.
The inflation rate stood at 3.6% in June, but the Bank now expects it to climb toward 4% due to food prices alone. Supermarkets are already passing these costs to consumers.
Though the government hailed the cut as a sign of economic resilience, analysts argue that fiscal policy is partly to blame for the rising prices, slowing the recovery the cut was meant to support.

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